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[tee999]

ขอบคุณicyขนาดวันหยุดยังมีข้อมูล-ข่าวสารมาอัพเดท
ขอให้มีความสุขในวันหยุดพักผ่อนนะครับ

[Icy]

ถ้า IMF บอก ขายทอง แล้วจะควบคุม ไม่ให้ กระทบราคาตลาด

แต่ ดอลล่า กำลังจะดีดตัว กลับไป ที่ 90 - 120

ปอนด์กำลังดีดตัวกลับไป ที่ 3.5

ยูโร กำลังดีดตัวกลับไป ที่ 2.5

น้ำมันกำลังดีดตัวกลับไปที่ 95

ทองกำลังพุ่งไป 1280 - 1380


ฐานใหม่ ทั้งโลก จะถูกปรับใหม่หมด โดย มีการเงินเฟ้อสูงถึง 5 เท่าตัว (ข้าวจานละ 50 * 5 เท่ากับ 250)

ทอง 20 000 - 50 000



ฟังดู กลไก ไม่ค่อย สมเหตุสมผล เท่าไหร่

แต่กำลังทำกันอยู่ ทุกตัว ขึ้นหมด

ตัวที่ขาดอยู่ สองตัว ที่ ยังไม่ได้ขึ้น คือ

ดอล + หุ้น

แค่ขึ้นดอกเบี้ย + ขายพันธบัตร  แค่นี้ ถุงทรัพสิน ก้อ เติมเต็ม โดยไม่กระทบ กับ ตัวอื่นเลย




แต่ครั้งนึง ข้าวจานละ 20 ทอง 5000 (1 / 250)

วันนี้ ข้าว 50 ทอง 15000 (1/300)

สัดส่วนเรขาคณิค

วันหน้า ข้าว 75 ,  75 * 350 เท่ากับ ทอง 26 250


เป็นไปได้แหะ  26,250


แล้วข้าวจานละ 100, 100 * 500 เท่ากับทอง 50 000



หลัก เศรษฐศาสตร์ ทั้งทุนนิยม และ สังคมนิยม ชนชั้นทั่วไป ไม่ควรครอบครองทรัพสินมีค่าได้ ฤา?

[Icy]

พี่เก้ มายืนยัน บอกว่า ตลาดจะไม่มีการร่วงหล่นซ้ำสอง มีแต่ขึ้น ลูกเดียว

ต่างชาติ มองไปที่ 985 แล้ว กลับไป 1200

เงินทุน จะถูกย้ายกลับไปที่น้ำมัน เพื่อหลบ การสงบนิ่งของทอง ชั่วคราว (แต่ทองจะไม่ ร่วง)

ทุกตลาด จะต้องขึ้นหมด พี่เก้ ประกาศิต มาแล้ว

[Icy]

ฝรั่งมอง ทอง ยังเป็นขาขึ้น แม้ IMF จะเททอง เป้าหมายโดยประมาณ 1300

[Icy]

Conquer The 4 Fears Of Trading 

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Written by Price Headley     
Tuesday, 03 March 2009 13:01 
Merriam-Webster's dictionary defines fear as "an unpleasant, often strong emotion caused by anticipation or awareness of danger, going on to explain that fear...implies anxiety and usually the loss of courage." This definition of fear is useful in helping define the issues that traders face when coping with fear.

The reality is that all traders feel fear at some level, but the key is how we prepare to address our concerns related to taking on risk as a trader. In this article I will review four major fears experienced by traders, and I'll take it a step further by noting how the outcomes of these fears create undesirable trading behaviors. Basically, my aim is to have you walk away with an understanding of these dangers so you can and implement strategies that will address your fears and let you get on with your trading plan.
Mark Douglas, an expert in trading psychology, noted in his book, Trading in the Zone, that most investors believe they know what is going to happen next. This causes traders to put too much weight on the outcome of the current trade, while not assessing their performance as "a probability game" that they are playing over time. This manifests itself in investors getting too high and too low and causes them to react emotionally, with excessive fear or greed after a series of losses or wins. As the importance of an individual trade increases in the trader's mind, the fear level tends to increase as well. A trader becomes more hesitant and cautious, seeking to avoid a mistake. The risk of choking under pressure increases as the trader feels the pressure build.

All traders have fear, but winning traders manage their fear while losers are controlled by it. When faced with a potentially dangerous situation, the instinctive tendency is to revert to the "fight or flight" response. We can either prepare to do battle against the perceived threat, or we can flee from this danger. When an investor interprets a state of arousal negatively as fear or stress, performance is likely to be impaired. A trader will tend to ?freeze.?  In contrast, when a trader feels the surge of adrenaline but interprets this as excitement or a state of greater alertness before placing a trade, then performance will tend to improve. Many great live performers talk of feeling butterflies just before they go on stage, and how they interpret this as a wake-up call to go out and perform at their highest level. That's clearly a more empowering response than someone who might interpret these butterflies as a reason to run back to his dressing room to get sick! Winners take positive action in spite of fear. Read below for tips to conquer the four major fears in trading:

Here are the four major fears in trading, and how you can work to handle them:

1. Fear of Loss

The fear of losing when making a trade often has several consequences. Fear of loss tends to make a trader hesitant to execute his trading plan. This can often lead to an inability to pull the trigger on new entries as well as on new exits. As a trader, you know that you need to be decisive in taking action when your approach dictates a new entry or exit, so when fear of loss holds you back from taking action, you also lose confidence in your ability to execute your trading plan. This causes a lack of trust in your method or, more importantly, in your own ability to execute future trades.

Thus, you can see how fear can set in place a vicious cycle of recurring doubt and, in turn, reinforce a traders' lack of confidence in executing new positions. For example, if you doubt you will actually be able to exit your position when your method tells you to get the heck out, then as a self-preservation mechanism you will also choose not to get into new trades. Thus begins the analysis paralysis, where you are merely looking at new trades but not getting the proper reinforcement to pull the trigger. In fact, the reinforcement is negative and actually pulls you away from making a move.

Looking deeper at why a trader cannot pull the trigger, I believe the root stems from a lack of confidence about the trading plan, which then causes the trader to believe that by not trading, he is moving away from potential pain as opposed to moving toward future gain. No one likes losses, but the reality is, of course, that even the best professionals will lose. The key is that they will lose much less, which allows them to remain in the game both financially and psychologically. The longer you can remain in the trading game with a sound method, the more likely you will start to experience a better run of trades that will take you out of any temporary trading slumps.

When you're having trouble pulling the trigger, realize that you are worrying too much about results and are not focused on your execution process. Make sure your have a written plan and then practice executing your plan.

Start with paper trades if you prefer, or consider trading smaller positions to get the fear of losing out of your system and get yourself focused on execution. When in the heat of battle and realizing you need to get in or out of a trade, consider using market orders, especially on the exit. That way you can't beat yourself up for not pulling the trigger on your trade.

Many traders may get too cute with a trade and try to work out of a position at a limit price better than the current market price, hoping they can squeeze more out of a trade. But as famed trader Jesse Livermore advised in the classic book Reminiscences of a Stock Operator by Edwin Lefevre, "give up trying to catch the last eighth." Keep it simple with a market order to exit allows you to bring closure when you need it, which reinforces the confidence-building feelings that come from following your trading plan. In the past when my indicators noted it was time to exit, I have experienced firsthand the pain of not getting filled at my limit, watching the option drop and then placing a new limit back where I should have exited at the market in the first place! Then I have realized I was not going to get filled there either, so I again kept lowering my limit until, in frustration, I placed a market order to exit much lower than I could have closed the position initially. Not only can you feel the pain of loss financially but more importantly, you can chip away at your internal state of confidence and create frustration by not getting filled.

You should be more concerned about avoiding big losses and less concerned about taking small losses. If you can't bear to take a small loss, you will never give yourself an opportunity to be around when a big winning idea comes along, as every trade you enter has the risk of first turning against you for a loss. You must execute by knowing what your risk is in each trade, and define parameters to make sure you can ride favorable trends correctly as well so that your winners will be larger than you losers. And never get stuck in the mindset of hoping a loser will come back to "breakeven," as that is one of the trader's most deadly mental fantasies. Billions of dollars have been lost by technology investors hoping their stocks would bounce back in recent years to allow them to escape the downtrend. That only led to even greater losses in most cases. That's how a short-term trader can become a long-term investor unintentionally, and that is a position in which you never want to put yourself.

Ask how well you trust yourself to execute your trading plan. You want to judge your effectiveness based on how well you get in and out of the market when your method gives entry and exit signals. You'll need to be decisive, not hesitant, know in your heart that your method is well tested and that your risk is low compared to your likely reward. In other words, you must be fully prepared before you go into the heat of battle during a trading day. You need to know where you will enter and where you will exit if you are a discretionary trader. Or you need to know what system you are following and be prepared to enter and exit as the system dictates. This keeps you disciplined and focused on following a process that can generate favorable results over time.


2. Fear of Missing Out

Every trend always has its doubters, but I often notice that many skeptics of a trend will slowly become converts due to the fear of missing out on profits or the pain of losses in betting against that trend. The fear of missing out can also be characterized as greed of a sorts, for an investor is not acting based on some desire to own the security - other than the fact that it is going up without him on board. This fear is often fueled during runaway booms like the technology bubble of the late-1990s, as investors heard their friends talking about newfound riches. The fear of missing out came into play for those who wanted to experience the same type of euphoria.

When you think about it, this is a very dangerous situation, as at this stage investors tend essentially to say, "Get me in at any price - I must participate in this hot trend!? The effect of the fear of missing out is a blindness to any potential downside risk, as it seems clear to the investor that there can only be gains ahead from such a "promising" and "obviously beneficial" trend. But there's nothing obvious about it.

We remember the stories of the Internet and how it would revolutionize the way business was done. While the Internet has indeed had a significant impact on our lives, the hype and frenzy for these stocks ramped up supply of every possible technology stock that could be brought public and created a situation where the incredibly high expectations could not possibly be met in reality. It is expectation gaps like this that often create serious risks for those who have piled into a trend late, once it has been widely broadcast in the media to all investors.

3.  Fear of Letting a Profit Turn into a Loss

I get many more questions from subscribers asking if it is time to take a profit than I do subscribers asking when they should take their loss. This represents the fact that most traders do the opposite of the "let profits run, cut losses short" motto: they instead like to take quick profits while letting losers get out of control. Why would a trader do this? Too many traders tend to equate their net worth with their self-worth. They want to lock in a quick profit to guarantee that they feel like a winner.

How should you take profits? Should you utilize a fixed target profit objective, or should you only trail your stop on a winning trade until the trend breaks?

Those who can accept more risk should consider trailing a stop on their trending position, while more conservative traders may be more comfortable taking profits at their target objective. There is another alternative as well, which is to merge the two concepts by taking some profits off the table while seeking to ride the trend with a trailing stop on the remaining portion of the position.

When I trade options, I usually recommend taking half of the position off at a double or more, and then following the half position still open with a trailing stop. This allows you to have the opportunity to ride my best trading ideas further, as these are the trades where I am mostly likely to continue being right. Yet, I am also able to get the initial capital at risk back in my pocket, which frees me from worrying about letting a profit turn into a loss; I am guaranteed a breakeven even if the other half position were to go to nothing overnight. My general rule for the remaining half position is to exit if it reaches my trailing stop of half its maximum profit on an end-of-day closing basis, or scale out of the remaining half position every time it doubles again.

I'm also a big fan of moving your stop up to breakeven relatively quickly once the position starts to move in your favor, by about five percent on a stock or by roughly 25 percent on the option. It is also critical to recognize the impact of time spent waiting for a position to move. If you are not losing  but not yet winning after several trading days, there are likely better opportunities elsewhere. This is known as a "time stop," and it will get your capital out of non-performers and free it up for fresher trading ideas.

4.     Fear of Not Being Right

Too many traders care too much about being proven right in their analysis on each trade, as opposed to looking at trading as a probability game in which they will be both right and wrong on individual trades. In other words, their overall method will create positive results.

The desire to focus on being right instead of making money is a function of the individual's ego, and to be successful you must trade without ego at all costs. Ego leads to equating the trader's net worth with his self-worth, which results in the desire to take winners too quickly and sit on losers in often-misguided hopes of exiting at a breakeven.

Trading results are often a mirror for where you are in your life. If you feel any sort of conflict internally with making money or feel the need to be perfect in everything you do, you will experience cognitive dissonance as you trade. This means that your brain will be insisting that you cannot exit a trade at a loss because it ruins your self-image of perfection. Or if you grew up and feel guilty about having money, your mind and ego will find a way to give up gains and take losses in the markets. The ego's need to protect its version of the self must be let go in order to rid ourselves of the potential for self-sabotage.

If you have a perfectionist mentality when trading, you are really setting yourself up for failure, because it is a given that you will experience losses along the way in trading. Again, you have to think of trading as a probability game. You can't be a perfectionist and expect to be a great trader. If you cannot take a loss when it is small because of the need to be perfect, then the loss will often times grow to a much larger loss, causing further pain for the perfectionist. The objective should be excellence in trading, not perfection.

In addition, you should strive for excellence over a sustained period, as opposed to judging that each trade must be excellent. The great traders make mistakes too, but they are able to keep the impact of those mistakes small, while really riding their best ideas fully.

For the trader who is dealing with excessive ego challenges (yet, who wants to admit it?), this is one of the strongest arguments for mechanical systems, as you grade yourself not on whether your trade analysis was right or wrong. Instead you judge yourself based on how effectively you executed your system's entry and exit signals. This is much easier for those traders who want to leave their egos at the door when they start to trade. Additionally, because we are raised in a highly competitive culture, the perception of a contest or competition will also bring out your ego's desire to win and beat others.

You will be better off seeing trading as a series of opportunities that will become apparent to you, and your task is to create a plan that finds opportunities with potential rewards that are several times greater than the risks you incur.

Be sure you are writing down your reasons for entering each trade, as the ego will play tricks and come up with new reasons to hang on to losing positions once the original reasons have evaporated. One of our survival mechanisms is remembering the good and omitting the bad in our minds, but this is dangerous in trading. You must acknowledge the risk and use a stop on every trade to admit when the analysis is no longer timely. This helps prevent undesirable situations where you get stuck in a position because you did not adhere to your original stop. This is a bad use of capital being tied up in an under-performing position, when there are likely to be many better opportunities elsewhere. Trading without stops is an ego-driven approach that hopes to avoid accountability for a losing trading idea. This is an unacceptable behavior to the successful trader, who knows he must limit risk with stops to stay in the game for the next trading opportunity.

In summary, your trading plan must account for the emotions you will be prone to experience, particularly those related to managing fear. As a trade, you must move from a fearful mindset to mental state of confidence. You have to believe in your ability as well as the effectiveness of your plan to take profits that are larger than the manageable losses. This builds the confidence of knowing that you are on the right track. It also makes it easier to continue to execute new trades after a string of losing positions. Psychologically, that's the critical point where many individuals will pull the plug, because they are too reactive to emotions as opposed to the longer-term mechanics of their plan. If you're not sure if you can make this leap, know that you can if you start small.

Too many investors have an "all-or-none" mentality. They're either going to get rich quick or blow out trying. You want to take the opposite mentality - one that signals that you are in this for the longer haul. This gives you "permission" to slowly get comfortable and to keep refining your plan as you go. As you focus on execution while managing fear, you realize that giving up is the only way you can truly lose. You will win as you conquer the four major fears, to gain confidence in your trading method and, ultimately, you will gain even more confidence in yourself.
 

[Icy]

Trading versus Gambling ? Part 1 

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Written by Sam Seiden     
Monday, 09 February 2009 00:00 
The other day, I was spending time with a friend that I have been close with since we were children. For years, anytime my career has come up in conversation, he insists that my trading career is nothing more than gambling. At trading events, I often get asked if I think there is any difference between trading and gambling. 

It is a hard question for me to answer because I think the whole question is wrong. 
Whether you are a trader, a gambler in a , Pepsi buying advertising space on a network, a retail store owner, a , a car dealer, a franchise owner, a street vendor, someone who buys and sells things on eBay, and so on, YOU ARE A SPECULATOR at some level.  The trader takes on risk in a market for a potential reward.

The gambler risks a $5 chip on the blackjack table to try and make $10.  Pepsi pays for commercial television time on a network (risk) hoping to see a return (reward) on that investment much greater than the cost of the commercial.  The retail storeowner buys inventory (risk) in hopes of selling that inventory to you and I at a much higher price (reward).  I think you get the point.  If you think of it this way, the real question becomes, ?What type of speculator are you??

Are you the type who only takes on risk when the odds are stacked in your favor, or are you the type that takes on risk when the opportunity ?feels right? and ?looks good??  My answer to my friend was simple.  I said, ?Yes, trading and gambling are very similar but there is one big difference.  Imagine playing black jack (21) and not having to bet any money until after you see the cards.  After you have seen them, you are able to bet as much or little or even not bet at all.  If you do place a bet, you can then take all your money off the table whenever you want, THAT IS TRADING.? 

In trading, we have the ability to put our hard earned money at risk only when the odds are very much stacked in our favor.  A  would love to have the odds that the astute market speculator is able to enjoy.

The issue is that most market speculators cannot tell the difference between risk and opportunity.  In fact, most get it completely backwards which is great for the astute market player.  This novice group continuously falls for the many illusion traps in the market that disguise risk as opportunity.  Let?s look at an example of risk disguised as opportunity on Thursday, March 5th.
 

[Icy]

A young trader named David is about to lose his job and does not see the end coming. Losing his job will be a great personal, professional and financial blow. Because of his loss, he will probably lose his apartment and credit. It will take him a long time to get back on his feet.

I happen to be friends with the top management of the company where he works and I am privy to his impending fate, but I am unable to warn him.

The two questions that have been nagging at me for days are:
? How did this happen?
? And why is he unaware of it?

Actually, I know the answer to both of these questions. The answer is that despite all of his hard work and good intentions, David has failed to play by the rules of the game he is playing.

The Players and the Clueless

Every human endeavor operates on the basis of a set of unwritten rules. In the modern world, we often resist the notion that we must adhere to a set of rules that we did not establish.  Each of us has the illusion of being in control of our lives, but those who are ?streetwise? are well aware of the nature of the games, what is at stake and what the rules are. These savvy men and women are the ?players.?  The rest of the participants in the games of life are the ?clueless? ones. These are the individuals who fail to understand that they are playing a game, what the rules are and the consequences of not playing by those rules.

No game I know of is as cruel to the clueless as the school playground. From personal observation, it appears that some of us are hardwired to catch on early (the players) and others are hardwired to never catch on (the clueless). Players do not chafe against the rules. They learn them, master them and win most of the games they play. 

In the prestigious company where David works, the unwritten rule is ? It does not matter how much money you are making for the clients. What matters is how well you communicate with them. David is a very good trader who has consistently made a respectable return for his company?s investors. Unfortunately, he is a particularly poor communicator. 

To make matters worse, he does not see the point of being a good communicator. Despite all of the advice he has received about returning calls to the company?s clients to provide them with updates and feedback, David sees it as a waste of his time ? time that is better spent doing his research and making better trades. One could easily assume that the bottom line is what the investors care about most, but in this particular game, one would be wrong.

Although each game has its own rules, there are some general rules that should always be kept in mind. Sadly, David has flaunted nearly all of these general rules, to say nothing of the specific ones. 



Here are the Rules:

1. Every human endeavor is played out like a game and each has its own rules that are specific to it.

2. Do not assume that you know what the rules are ? especially if you are applying logic or past experience to a new game.  Learn the rules of the game you are playing.

3. If you want to find out what the rules are, look for the most successful player and study him. He will be a master player.

4. Develop relationships with the successful players.  Ask them for advice and seek their protection until you become a skillful player.

5. Step into the game slowly and only after much preparation and practice. DO NOT LEAP into the game unprepared.

6. Bring enough chips to the game so that you are not forced to leave the table before you have learned how to play.

7. Make a clear list of the rules in your head and/or on paper so you know what they are.  Then, set them to memory.

8. Commit to following these rules, as you understand them. Acknowledge the cost of not following them.

9. If you decide that you do not like the game and do not want to play by its rules, be very clear that you must leave the game.

10. NEVER whine because you were forced to leave the game for failing to play by its rules.

There is no shame in leaving a game when you do not like or agree with the rules. Find a game where you can excel and the rules are consistent with your values. On the other hand, no points are ever awarded for being clueless or for staying that way. David is a nice young man who flaunted the most sacred rule of his organization and he will soon be paying the price. My hope is that someday he will seek me out as his coach and I will be able to teach him how to play any game he chooses and emerge as a winner.

If trading is a game that has its own rules, and if washing out of trading is the price you pay for failing to play by those rules, exactly what are those rules?

I have listed below some of the most important general rules of trading as a profession. These rules are not the technical rules that can be mastered through reading, taking a few courses, and practice in paper trading. Nor are they the trading rules that you will develop for entering and exiting trades. These are the rules of the game that allow you to enter the game and stay in it long enough to become a successful professional.

Here are the Rules:

1. In trading, the winner takes all because trading is a zero-sum game. There are no second or third place prizes handed out in trading. There is nothing warm and fuzzy about the markets. For people who have ever played in arenas where an effort is made to support the loser and to humanize the game, this is a difficult and painful concept to wrap oneself around. There is much at stake in trading and losing can mean losing everything and being forced to leave the game. If this level of risk is unacceptable, you are getting a clear signal to find another game to play.

2. You cannot play to win without the admission price. This ?no-tickee-no-washee? rule is another of the painful realities of trading.  Attempting to trade without sufficient capital is the equivalent of fighting the U.S. military with slingshots or taking on the Mensa club with the patients from the Alzheimer?s wing.  Sufficient capital for entering trading falls in a range with the very bottom being approximately $25,000 and has no upper limit.  This capital cannot be money that is needed to live on. 

A new trader must have another source of income that can be counted upon to supply his family?s needs for at least three years. You will hear traders argue that these figures are too high, but they are the few who have survived. The others are already out of the game, having lost all their capital. If a trader is playing with too little capital, he will have no room to experience the losses and remain in the game. In addition, he will be playing scared, which is a like dueling with both arms tied behind your back.

3. Preparation is required. The trader who has read everything, taken every course, attended every workshop, done endless research, developed his own trading system, back-tested it thoroughly, paper-traded for an extensive period of time is a prepared trader.  Match this prepared trader against a cowboy trader who is shooting from the hip without any target practice and you can apply Rule Number One. The professional can start counting his money before the first volley is fired.

4. Psychology is more important than smarts and/or formal education. I have worked with incredibly successful traders who did not make it through high school. What they had going for them, in each case, was the right psychology. And what is that ? They were trading with confidence and focus with a sense of calm, with a love of the process, and without the baggage of fear, greed, and unresolved psychological issues that lead to self-sabotage. 

This advanced state of psychological balance is rare. Some individuals are born with it but most acquire this state through commitment, effort, the willingness to do the hard work and confront their fears and the willingness to make the investment in money and time to deal with their issues.
 
5. Develop discipline. This rule is a subset of Rule Number Four, but it is so important that it deserves its own category.  Discipline is what motivates a trader to do the hard things that must be done rather than taking the easy way out, which, in trading, is usually the wrong way. Discipline allows a trader to say ?no? to destructive behavior and ?yes? to the scary things in trading like dealing with loss and money management.



6. Find a mentor or a trader to use as a model. The fastest way to learn all of the rules of trading and to become successful is to model a successful professional trader. Mentoring and modeling allows you to bypass all of the mistakes that novice traders make. It provides you with the authoritative guidance and support that breed confidence, which is key to successful trading.

7. Write a business plan. Traders with business plans are entrepreneurs and businessmen. Traders without business plans are just one step above gamblers and in some cases that one step can be eliminated. A business plan spells out all of the resources, trading methodology and/or rules, operational plans, budgets, money management and feedback mechanisms that a trader uses to run his business. A well-written business plan signals to both the trader and to his family and associates that he is serious about being a professional.  It is also the document that allows a trader to look for investors when the time comes to do so.

8. Take care and beware of your relationships. This is a complex rule because it advises a trader to make certain that his important relationships are in good health so they can support his professional life. Nothing can interrupt a successful trading career as quickly as a broken marriage. And this rule is also a warning to traders to let go of toxic, risky, and unsupportive relationships that can damage self-confidence and health and lead to risky behaviors.

9. Take care of your health. Far too many traders wash out of the game because they fail to apply this rule to their trading.  Bad diets, lack of exercise and sleep, and too much stress all lead to the diseases and conditions that can end a career.  I have counseled many floor traders disabled by stress-related illnesses as well as traders who can no longer work productively because of alcoholism, drug-taking, heart problems and other disabling diseases.

10. Enjoy the process. There is no point in becoming a professional trader if you hate what you do and if each day drags on to the next. Find a way to enjoy the process or the process will find a way to end your career.

If you can master these ten rules of the trading game, you are a ready to play to win.

[Icy]

The Euro should complete a daily triangle by early September

[Icy]

เอาหละ หันมาดู การเทรดที่ผ่านมา เมืออาทิตย์แล้ว กัน คะ

กราฟ ขึ้นมาเพื่อทำ ขา 2 ของมังกร ให้เสร็จสิ้นที่ ระดับ 1.27 ระหว่าง หัวกับขาหน้าของมังกร โดยมีส่วนหัวอยู่ที่ 900 ขาหน้าที่ประมาณ 995

กราฟปิดสัปดาห์ ที่ระดับ เส้นแบ่งแดน เทรนไลน์ ที่ช่วงระดับ 995 - 1007 (เพราะ ส่วนหัว เกิดขึ้นเป็นแถบช่วงระหว่าง 875 - 900 จึงยากที่จะกำหนดตายตัวว่าจุดใด) ซึ่งสัญญาน ชอต จะเกิดขึ้นเมือ กราฟ ตัดผ่านแถบทะลุทะลวงนี้ ไปแล้ว

ดังนั้น กราฟ มีเพียงแนวโน้มว่าจะลง เท่านั้น แต่ ยังไม่มีสัญญาน การลง เกิดขึ้น

และ ที่ระดับแนวทะลุทะลวงนี้ กราฟ ยังมีโอกาสกลับไป 1017 - 1021 ได้อีก เพื่อสร้างคลื่นรบกวน หรือ อาจยังคงสะบัดหางกลับขึ้นไป 1060 ได้อีก


จาก มุมมองข้างต้น อาจสามารถ เดาทาง ได้ดังนี้

1. 21 - 27 กย กราฟยังคงอยู่เหนือแนวทะลุทะลวง (995 - 1007)  ที่ระดับ 1008 - 1030

2. 28 กย - 11 ตค กราฟจะสามารถทะลุทะลวง ลงมาได้ที่ระดับ 975 - 955

3. 12 ตค - 27 ตค กราฟ เด้งกลับไป เพื่อปิดแกป ส่วนที่เหลือเหนือ 975

4. 27 ตค - 30 พย กราฟจะทรงอยู่ที่ระดับ 875 - 925


มุมมองข้างต้น จะ ล้มเหลว หาก กราฟ ทะลวงผ่าน แถบทะลุทะลวง นั้นได้ ถ้าทะลวงผ่านได้ เป้าหมาย คือ 900
(เนื่องจาก ข่าวอนุมิตการเททองของเฟด + กับข่าวการพิจารณาปรับขึ้นดอกเบี้ยของธนาคารกลาง ที่พึ่งออกมาหลังจบการเทรดที่นิวยอร์ค ทำให้โกเบคพาราคาดิ่งลงมา รอที่แนวทะลุทะลวง เพื่อเปิดโอกาสให้ จีน ได้มีโอกาสเทขายออกไปก่อน ในเช้าวันจันทร์ ก่อน เทศกาล หยุดยาว ระหว่าง 1-8 ตุลาคม ถ้าดิ่งจริงในวันจันทร์ นิวยอร์คจะ พากระชากกลับไปที่ 1021 เพื่อ ให้คนเข้าชอตในระดับ 1007 - 995 ตัดขาดทุนออกไปให้หมด ซึ่งจะใช้เวลายาวนานตั้งแต่ ตลาดนิวยอร์คเปิด จนกระทั่งตลาดลอนดอนปิด)

[Seyren]

ขอบคุณครับ คุณIcy ขนาดวันเสาร์ยังขยันแบบสุดๆเลยครับ^^

[tee999]

คุณicyขยันจังมีข้อมููลที่เป็นภาษาปะกิตแล้วยังสรุปเป็นภาษาพื้นบ้านให้อีก
ขอบคุณแทนหมู่เฮาชาวบ้านโกลสองโกลครับ

[soda]

ขอบคุณค๊า

[June]

ขอบคุณค่ะ

[dolphin]

ขอบคุณค่ะน้องIcy สำหรับข้อมูลดีๆในวันหยุด ตอนนี้รู้สึกเหมือนตัวเองนั่งรถไฟเหาะอยู่เลยค่ะ มีทั้งขึ้น ทั้งลง เสียววูบๆอยู่เลย แต่ก็ยังใจแข็งอยู่ค่ะ                                                                                                                         

[Icy]

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1214309/Britain-facing-immediate-risk-financial-crisis.html#ixzz0RRkKNVXC

แบงค์อังกฤษ ประสบปัญหา การเงินอย่างหนัก มี หนีสิน ซ่อน อยู่ 32 พันล้านปอนด์ (ปอนด์ นะคะ ไม่ใช่ ดอลล่าร์)  สาหัสยิ่งกว่า เมกา อีก

การที่ แสดง ปริมาณ 32 พันล้านปอนด์ ใน ขณะที่ปอนด์ แข็งค่ามหาศาล ไม่ใช่สิ่งดี


เหมือน เมกา ตอน  เจอ วิกฤต กระแทกลูกแรก ดอลพุ่งลิ่ว - คราวนี้ ปอนด์ จะ พุ่งลิว ดึงทอง ขึ้นไปด้วย


การชอตเซลทอง ต้องระวัง 1007 ยังไม่ใช่จุดชอต เพียงแค่เป็นแนวรับเท่านั้น ต้องหลุดลงมาก่อน สัก 10 - 15 เหรียญ ให้เกิดสัญญาน แมคดี ที่รายวัน ก่อน

(แมคดีรายวัน ปากฉลามยังอ้า รับน้ำฝน อยู่ เลย) อิอิ